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Public Markets 8-Hour Briefing

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Market Performance

The S&P 500 posted its worst month since March amid growing geopolitical tensions, trade concerns, and AI market disruption. Bank stocks suffered another plunge as concerns about credit quality and AI-driven disruption intensified, with consumer lenders like American Express among the worst performers. The broader market fell sharply as risk-off sentiment spread through financial markets following Block Inc.'s massive layoffs that fueled anxiety about AI's economic impact.

Energy & Commodities

Oil markets saw increased bullish positioning as hedge funds raised bets to a 22-month high amid rising tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Crude futures settled higher as traders assessed the risk potential military action could have on oil supplies. Meanwhile, gold prices climbed with spot gold set for a monthly gain of more than 8%, while gold capped an historic month with the front-month contract increasing 11% for its best dollar gain ever in February.

AI & Tech Disruption

Wall Street's quant playbook has been upended as artificial intelligence reorders market dynamics, with investors struggling to adjust to competing visions on the next technological revolution. President Trump ordered U.S. government agencies to stop using Anthropic technology amid a Pentagon feud, later directing the government to cease using the AI company's technology after a standoff over military use. Meanwhile, OpenAI reached a $730 billion valuation as Amazon, NVIDIA, and SoftBank injected $110 billion into the AI company.

Deals & Corporate Actions

Netflix soared after declining to match Paramount Skydance's $111 billion bid for Warner Bros, with analysts suggesting the streamer made the right decision to preserve financial flexibility. SpaceX is weighing a confidential IPO filing as soon as March as Elon Musk's company moves toward going public. Apollo Global Management netted roughly $250 million in paper gains from its recent bet supporting Elon Musk's x AI, while Paramount faces strained credit ratings following its Warner Bros. acquisition despite the potential for future debt reduction.