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Last updated: March 31, 2026, 11:30 PM ET

Asian Equities Surge on Mideast De-escalation Hopes

Asian equities rebounded sharply as market sentiment improved dramatically following reports that President Trump signaled a desire to end the Iran war within three weeks, easing concerns over sustained high energy costs. Driven by this geopolitical relief, South Korean stocks climbed higher, with heavyweight chipmakers like Samsung and SK Hynix leading the charge. Japanese shares also gained ground, bolstered by positive Tankan business survey results alongside the optimistic war outlook, while the Singapore dollar strengthened slightly amid the broader risk-on mood across the region.

Manufacturing & Currency Pressures

Despite the broad equity rally, underlying economic data revealed persistent cost pressures, particularly for exporters, as manufacturing activity showed mixed results across Asia. China’s private factory surveys indicated a slowdown for export-oriented firms due to surging input costs, contrasting with official data suggesting overall expansion. This inflationary strain is particularly acute in India, where strategists now forecast the rupee sliding toward 100 per dollar if the conflict persists, prompting the Reserve Bank of India to tighten FX curbs, which in turn has complicated hedging for foreign investors in the offshore dollar market.

Fixed Income Divergence and Market Oversight

In fixed income markets, the search for safety created a divergence, with Chinese government bonds emerging as a rare haven, posting marginal yield declines while yields elsewhere rose. Meanwhile, regulators are closely monitoring energy markets; the Commodity Futures Trading Commission confirmed it is watching oil futures trading spikes for any unusual activity, a reaction to the volatile energy supply outlook stemming from the Middle East tensions.

Corporate & Institutional Developments

Away from the geopolitical focus, institutional and corporate news showed asset managers continuing to expand mandates, while specific companies faced headwinds. BlackRock Inc. significantly increased its mandate size with Australia’s sovereign wealth fund, growing its allocation by 74% over the past two years to become its largest alternatives provider. Conversely, subprime lender Goeasy Ltd. warned investors that elevated loan writeoffs in its vehicle financing segment are expected to persist before any business improvement materializes. In the property sector, Singapore's private home prices are set to moderate in Q1, slowing their pace despite continued strong underlying demand.