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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Last updated: March 12, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

Private Credit Crisis

Investors demanded 14% of assets wsj.com from Cliffwater's $33 billion fund while Morgan Stanley capped withdrawals wsj.com at $2 billion, signaling deepening stress in the private credit market. The exodus comes as rising interest rates and deteriorating asset quality expose vulnerabilities wsj.com in the $1.5 trillion private lending sector, with industry analysts warning that similar redemption requests could cascade through other major funds.

Energy Policy & Markets

The Trump administration weighed suspending wsj.com the Jones Act to ease energy logistics bottlenecks, while Exxon Mobil joined wsj.com a wave of companies relocating to Texas for favorable legal reforms. Meanwhile, CME Group's Terry Duffy warned that government intervention ft.com in oil futures would trigger a "biblical disaster," eroding confidence in the $1.5 trillion derivatives market. The comments came as crude prices remained volatile wsj.com amid Middle East tensions and conflicting signals about potential strategic petroleum reserve releases.

Housing & Consumer Markets

Lennar's first-quarter sales fell 13% wsj.com as the housing market slowdown persisted, with the homebuilder reporting revenue of $6.1 billion and average home prices dropping 8% year-over-year. The weakness extended to retail, where Ulta Beauty projected 6-7% sales growth wsj.com for fiscal 2025, down from 9.7% the previous year as consumers prioritized value wsj.com over discretionary spending. In contrast, Jennifer Garner's Once Upon a Farm saw shares fall 9.8% bloomberg.com after forecasting slower 2026 growth, highlighting the challenges facing newly public consumer brands.

Financial Regulation

The Federal Reserve proposed loosening ft.com capital requirements for large banks, a move Wall Street hailed as reducing compliance costs by an estimated $20 billion annually. The changes would water down ft.com post-2008 safeguards, potentially allowing banks to increase leverage ratios while maintaining current dividend policies. The proposal faces opposition from consumer advocates who warn it could increase systemic risk ft.com in the financial system.

Trade & Labor

The Trump administration launched a trade investigation nytimes.com into forced labor practices across dozens of countries, potentially opening a new front in global tariff policy. The probe could trigger additional duties nytimes.com on imports from nations failing to meet U.S. labor standards, affecting sectors from electronics to apparel. Meanwhile, Buzz Feed issued a going concern warning wsj.com, citing insufficient liquidity to fund operations through the coming year as the digital media company struggles with legacy commitments and persistent losses since its 2021 SPAC merger.

Technology & Markets

S&P Dow Jones Indices considered rule changes bloomberg.com that would fast-track SpaceX's entry into the S&P 500 following its anticipated IPO, potentially adding $100 billion in market cap wsj.com to the benchmark index. The move reflects growing pressure to include prominent private companies in public market indices as traditional IPO timelines extend. In international markets, drone warfare escalated dramatically nytimes.com in Congo, with a U.N. children's agency worker among three killed in a residential area strike, underscoring the expanding role of unmanned systems in modern conflict.