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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Energy & Commodities

Oil futures dropped 1.3% wsj.com in early Asian trade after OPEC+ signaled potential output increases, while gold held near $2,340 wsj.com as a weakening dollar offset risk-on sentiment. A surge in aluminum prices ft.com pushed China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo past the $48 billion mark, cementing his position among Asia's wealthiest industrialists. Meanwhile, Thailand's oil fund burns $32 million daily bloomberg.com to cap diesel prices, widening fuel demand curbs amid surging global energy costs. The ongoing Middle East war also threatens to extend Qatar's LNG export halt bloomberg.com to its longest streak since 2008, further boosting prices for the ftruncated liquefied natural gas market.

Fixed Income & Credit Markets

Japanese government bonds extended gains bloomberg.com tracking overnight Treasury rallies as traders increasingly price in a September Fed rate cut. U.S. airline bonds weakened bloomberg.com after jet fuel costs spiked 8% on Middle East supply fears, and Chicago's planned muni bond sale bloomberg.com is testing investor appetite amid geopolitical uncertainty. Private credit faces a reckoning, with Pimco blaming years of sloppy underwriting bloomberg.com for the market strain, while JPMorgan marked down loan portfolios ft.com of private credit groups, limiting credit to higher-risk firms. Blackstone arranged a $1.2 billion credit facility bloomberg.com for Air Trunk's expansion into Japanese data centers, part of a broader private equity push into AI infrastructure assets across Asia-Pacific. The collapse of MFS ft.com has sent shockwaves through Wall Street, adding to fears over weak underwriting standards.

Geopolitics & Markets

The war in Iran changes global scenarios, with the Middle East war costing tourism $600 million daily ft.com and Gulf disruption choking sulphur flows ft.com, spiking prices and threatening sectors from fertiliser to microchips. China's central bank employed volatile yuan fixing bloomberg.com to manage Iran war fallout, signaling increased tolerance for yuan flexibility. Lloyd's of London insures 'basically anyone' in the Gulf ft.com, responding to criticism over cancelled policies and higher prices for stuck ships. The conflict also spurs a hunt for cheaper air defence, with Lasers, radars and drones ft.com becoming critical as complex systems prove less cost-effective for modern warfare.