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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Energy Market Volatility

Oil prices faced pressure nytimes.com as the ongoing conflict in the Middle East continues to impact global markets. The price of jet fuel and diesel surged nytimes.com since the war in Iran began, which could force airlines and trucking companies to pass on higher costs to their customers. The Group of Seven nations asked the IEA to prepare scenarios bloomberg.com for the release of emergency oil stockpiles, reflecting concerns about the crisis's impact. Russia is poised for an oil-revenue surge bloomberg.com despite an initial halt to Black Sea crude shipments. The rapid price swings ft.com highlight the volatility in the oil market.

Impact on Airlines

Rising fuel costs are pressuring airlines nytimes.com, potentially leading to higher fares for travelers. The increased cost of operating a plane has sharply increased nytimes.com, adding to the financial strain on the industry. The chancellor is keen to avoid costly intervention ft.com as concerns mount about the economic impact of the war.

Treasury and Bond Market

Treasuries experienced some movement bloomberg.com as the corporate bond market saw a resurgence after a brief pause. Treasury yields were slightly lower wsj.com as the Trump administration noted the war’s end is near. In Colombia, the recent primaries fueled a bond rebound bloomberg.com, reviving market optimism.

Market Dynamics and Investment Strategies

Hedge fund manager Boaz Weinstein is "buying pessimism" bloomberg.com, seeking to acquire assets from distressed investors in funds like Blue Owl and Starwood. Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan bloomberg.com saw gains, driven by investments in SpaceX and gold, which offset private equity losses.

Sectoral Performance and Company News

Canadian subprime lender Goeasy shares plunged bloomberg.com after suspending its dividend and withdrawing its outlook, leading to significant loan write-offs. Halkbank shares rallied ft.com following a resolution in its Iran sanctions-busting case, which involved Turkey's assistance in arranging a Gaza ceasefire deal. Stagwell's CEO sees opportunity bloomberg.com in the disruption among competitors, expecting this to support the company’s performance.

Broader Economic Trends

Existing home sales in the U.S. unexpectedly rose bloomberg.com in February, aided by falling mortgage rates and modest price growth. The Bank for International Settlements ft.com expressed concerns about the future of stablecoins. China prepared for the Iran oil crisis wsj.com through stockpiles and a shift to electric vehicles.

Other Developments

Japan secured rare earths supply ft.com with a deal with an Australian miner, which reflects the global push to safeguard critical material flows. YouTube is adding a tool nytimes.com to help public figures report fake videos. Smartmatic says it’s a target nytimes.com of vindictive prosecution, highlighting the legal battles over elections expected in 2026.