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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Market Volatility & AI Sector Concerns

Nassim Taleb bloomberg.com warned investors to brace for escalating volatility and potential bankruptcies in the software sector as the AI-driven rally enters a fragile phase. Option traders bloomberg.com are piling into bets against the software-exposed loan ETF, signaling growing pessimism about the sector's outlook. IBM shares bloomberg.com plunged after Anthropic announced its Claude Code tool can help modernize COBOL, a dated programming language that IBM has long specialized in supporting.

ETF Innovation & Flows

The GENIUS ETF bloomberg.com saw massive $17 billion inflows last week, leading all money market ETFs. The DUSA ETF bloomberg.com surpassed $1 billion in assets as active and value strategies outperform. Space economy ETFs bloomberg.com are gaining traction as investors look for exposure to the growing sector, with "UFO" funds tracking companies involved in satellite technology and space exploration. Prediction market ETFs are also emerging as a new frontier for exchange-traded products.

IPO Market Struggles

Wall Street analysts bloomberg.com mounted a rescue operation for slumping US IPOs, with three of the worst performers this year winning support from analysts who warmed to their post-selloff valuations. The move comes as the IPO market continues to face headwinds from market volatility and valuation concerns.

Technology & Infrastructure

Hyperscaler compute capacity investing.com is expected to double over the next two years, according to Wells Fargo, as demand for AI infrastructure continues to surge. Amazon shares investing.com slipped amid news of a $12 billion Louisiana data center bet, highlighting the massive capital expenditures required to support AI growth. IBM's stock tumble investing.com of 10% following Anthropic's COBOL announcement underscores the competitive pressures facing legacy tech companies in the AI era.

Private Markets & Capital Deployment

Private equity returns bloomberg.com slumped for the fourth straight year as the industry sat on $3.8 trillion of unsold assets and struggled to raise money for new funds. Meanwhile, the Luksic clan bloomberg.com continued selling Nexans shares to raise funds for "new strategic investments," reflecting the challenges of deploying capital in the current market environment.

Regional Developments

Panama's government bloomberg.com ordered temporary occupation of two canal ports after the constitutional court ruled against the CK Hutchison deal, with Maersk and MSC ft.com set to take temporary control. France moved yahoo.com to bar US Ambassador Charles Kushner from direct government access, adding to diplomatic tensions.