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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Last updated: March 15, 2026, 1:32 PM ET

Energy Markets

Oil futures slipped 1.3% wsj.com in early Asian trade as OPEC+ signaled potential output increases, while gold held steady nytimes.com near $2,340/oz despite a weakening dollar. In fixed income, Japanese government bonds extended their rally bloomberg.com tracking overnight gains in U.S. Treasurys as traders priced in a September Fed rate cut. Meanwhile, aluminum prices surged ft.com pushing China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo past the $48 billion mark, cementing his position among Asia's wealthiest industrialists.

Middle East Conflict Impact

Energy Secretary Chris Wright signaled prolonged conflict nytimes.com with oil prices elevated as the U.S. and Israel seek to destroy Iranian military capabilities. The Strait of Hormuz remained unsafe for tanker passage nytimes.com as Iran fired projectiles and laid mines, prompting Australia's Energy Minister Chris Bowen to warn of "real and unacceptable shortages" in rural areas. Shipping through the critical waterway slowed to a crawl bloomberg.com with most commercial traffic paralyzed, while a handful of Iranian-linked vessels continued navigating despite escalating security risks.

Financial Markets Volatility

Hedge funds turned most bullish on oil bloomberg.com since 2020 amid Iran war volatility, while institutional investors turned to exotic hybrid options bloomberg.com to trade cross-market gyrations. The wild swings prompted retail traders to rush into oil bets ft.com as the biggest U.S. ETF linked to crude prices saw record inflows. Financial stocks suffered their worst start to a year bloomberg.com since the Covid pandemic, with investors expecting more pain ahead as worries over private credit and the Iran war roiled markets.

Corporate Debt Markets

U.S. investment-grade bond sales came close to record levels bloomberg.com despite Middle East war, rising yields, and oil prices. Amazon, JPMorgan, and other blue-chip borrowers tested investor appetite bloomberg.com as the London Stock Exchange Group sought to sell $3 billion of bonds bloomberg.com. Additional Tier 1 bonds dodged the worst of the selloff bloomberg.com as investors hoarded them fearing future scarcity.

Asia-Pacific Markets

Indian stocks suffered their worst weekly performance bloomberg.com since June 2022 as escalating Middle East tensions sent oil prices surging and rattled investor sentiment. Japan planned to sell oil from national reserves bloomberg.com at pre-conflict prices, while South Korean tycoon saw earnings soar bloomberg.com as the war wreaked chaos across global energy markets. Asian countries increasingly looked to the U.S. as an energy supplier bloomberg.com to reduce dependence on the Middle East amid regional instability.

European Financial Developments

The Swiss government prepared to decide on UBS capital requirements bloomberg.com in April as it finalizes new regulations following Credit Suisse's collapse. The London Stock Exchange Group targeted $3 billion in bond sales bloomberg.com, while French and Italian officials opened talks with Iran ft.com hoping to secure safe Hormuz passage and restart energy shipments.

Emerging Markets Pressure

Asia's emerging-market currencies faced continued pressure bloomberg.com during the Iran war, though central banks began stepping up support after stashing away extra reserves. South Africa's rand faced risks from prolonged oil prices bloomberg.com, potentially forcing the central bank to consider raising interest rates as a weaker currency pushed inflation higher than it's prepared to tolerate.

Private Credit Concerns

Private credit funds turned to retail investors bloomberg.com who aren't used to having money tied up when things go wrong. Worries arose that valuations shown on balance sheets don't match reality ft.com, with private credit showing half the ingredients of a financial crisis. The sector faces growing scrutiny bloomberg.com as geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainty mount.

Technology and Innovation

Elon Musk's xAI prepared for growth through SpaceX merger bloomberg.com, positioning the combined business for a burst of expansion ahead of potential IPOs. Fintech company Airwallex earmarked $1.1 billion for European expansion wsj.com, targeting clients with global customer bases across the U.K., France, Germany, Netherlands, and UAE.

Regulatory and Legal Developments

Hong Kong's exchange proposed looser listing rules wsj.com to strengthen the city's appeal as an IPO venue, while regulators planned to name and shame lawyers and auditors ft.com for sloppy IPO work amid an influx of Chinese companies seeking to raise funds. Malaysia's anti-graft chief faced investigation over shareholdings bloomberg.com, with a lawmaker alleging ownership of shares worth 14 million ringgit ($3.6 in nine companies.

Real Estate and Infrastructure

Australia's government touted LNG reliability bloomberg.com as global energy markets roiled by Middle East conflict, while calling on trading partners to boost investment in its gas infrastructure. The U.K. government planned to speed up nuclear projects ft.com by weakening wildlife protection, adopting proposals from the Fingleton review to the dismay of ecologists.

Market Sentiment and Outlook

BlackRock's $220 billion model machine remained bullish on U.S. stocks bloomberg.com as geopolitical tensions roiled asset classes. A traditional 60-40 portfolio provided no help bloomberg.com as war drove stagflation threats with stocks and bonds falling in tandem. The prospect of prolonged conflict and elevated oil prices prompted stock investors to reassess industries bloomberg.com from food delivery to cosmetics.

International Trade Developments

U.S.-China trade negotiators began talks in Paris bloomberg.com led by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, and China's Vice Premier He Lifeng to map out plans for a leaders' summit. Air China planned to resume Beijing-Pyongyang flights bloomberg.com on March 30, while a new Beijing-Pyongyang train service lacked passengers on maiden voyage bloomberg.com.

Corporate Strategy Shifts

Pharmaceutical company Lundbeck planned U.S. and China investment bloomberg.com as drug rewards lag in Europe, focusing capital investments on markets facing less pressure to incentivize innovation. SoftBank-backed Pay Pay kept dual listing on table bloomberg.com after solid U.S. IPO, remaining open to Tokyo exchange presence.

Market Infrastructure

The National Stock Exchange of India planned IPO opening doors for shareholders bloomberg.com to sell stock as part of the bourse's planned initial public offering. Trading platform Polymarket captured crypto craze with five-minute bets bloomberg.com as Wall Street shortened trade lifespans from months to days or even single sessions.

Economic Policy Responses

Australia's Treasurer Jim Chalmers warned of rising household costs bloomberg.com with inflation set to rise above 4.5% as oil prices climb. The U.K. government targeted £50 million household support package ft.com for people using heating oil as ministers committed to preventing wider summer price surges.

Market Technical Developments

Scottie Pippen helped sell Wall Street on prediction markets bloomberg.com as online wagering gained popularity despite expert skepticism. The largest U.S. crude ETF saw record inflows ft.com as oil markets experienced their "meme" moment amid war-driven volatility.