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Last updated: March 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Energy & Commodities

Oil prices surged past $95 a barrel wsj.com as the war with Iran entered its third week, with the International Energy Agency declaring it the largest ever oil supply disruption nytimes.com as producers slash output and close ports. The conflict is supercharging earnings bloomberg.com for secretive Korean tanker owners betting on chaos, while two liquefied petroleum gas tankers provided some relief bloomberg.com by crossing the Strait of Hormuz to shortage-hit India. Meanwhile, a drone attack and fire suspended some operations bloomberg.com at Fujairah port, and two tankers were seen at Iran’s Kharg Island export terminal hours after U.S. strikes bloomberg.com. The Trump administration’s approval of a $5 billion ultra-deepwater drilling plan nytimes.com in the Gulf, expected to produce up to 10 billion barrels by 2030, contrasts with the immediate supply crunch. The U.S. spent $11.3 billion bloomberg.com in the war’s first six days, a cost that Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the military is “dealing with” nytimes.com as 2,500 Marines deploy. Higher energy prices are delivering a windfall wsj.com to U.S. oil-producing states, helping close budget deficits, even as they squeeze Pakistan’s fragile economy nytimes.com ahead of Eid and threaten global food supply chains by cutting fertilizer flows bloomberg.com.

Shipping & Supply Chains

Commercial vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains at “very low levels” bloomberg.com, with only a handful of tankers transiting in the last 24 hours. A Greek shipowner defied caution bloomberg.com by sending a second oil tanker through the strait, while another Greek vessel was damaged in a Black Sea attack bloomberg.com en route to Russia. The disruption is rippling across global trade bloomberg.com, with Australia’s Energy Minister warning of “real and unacceptable” fuel shortages bloomberg.com in rural areas and Europe facing fertilizer output cuts nytimes.com as gas prices spike. In the U.S., the Port of Los Angeles saw February imports rise nearly 3% bloomberg.com ahead of Lunar New Year, but the overall energy shock is upending global markets ft.com as investors price in prolonged supply upheaval.

Financial Markets & Credit

Financial stocks are off to their worst start since the Covid pandemic bloomberg.com as worries over private credit and the Iran war darken the outlook. JPMorgan Chase is testing investor appetite bloomberg.com for a massive block of leveraged buyout debt, a move Jamie Dimon has long warned would stress the credit cycle. Retail investors are sparking an ETF boom bloomberg.com by chasing oil futures 24/7, even as institutional sentiment sours. Emerging-market assets posted a second weekly loss bloomberg.com as traders repriced monetary policy expectations, and the rupee is expected to weaken to 94–95 per dollar bloomberg.com. Private credit funds are turning to retail investors bloomberg.com who lack lock-up protections, prompting warnings of “cockroach” risks in the $3 trillion risky-lending market nytimes.com. Oaktree’s Danielle Poli says bigger price moves in credit are coming bloomberg.com, though the moment for distressed debt bargains isn’t here yet.

Corporate & Sector Impacts

The oil shock is creating clear winners and losers ft.com across economies. China’s decades-long push into electric vehicles and renewables is paying off nytimes.com by reducing its oil dependence, while Total Energies is shutting about 15% of its output wsj.com in Qatar, Iraq, and UAE offshore fields. Hims & Hers Health shares notched a record week bloomberg.com after a Novo Nordisk partnership, and Hims is seen as a potential winner in weight-loss drugs. In steel, India’s JSW won rights to a Mozambique coking coal mine bloomberg.com to secure raw materials. Conversely, Honda slumped to its first annual loss since the 1950s ft.com after scrapping EV models, and China’s auto sales dropped as demand cooled wsj.com. Standard Bank reported record profit bloomberg.com on fee growth and trading revenue, while Australia’s A$4.5 trillion pension system—the world’s fourth-largest—continues its rapid growth bloomberg.com.

Geopolitical & Regulatory Ripples

The Iran war is reshaping Middle East alliances nytimes.com as the U.S. and Israel fight jointly for the first time, while Latin America’s leftist trio (Mexico, Colombia, called for a ceasefire bloomberg.com. President Trump hopes China and others will send ships bloomberg.com to the Strait of Hormuz, and Cuba acknowledged talks nytimes.com with Trump officials amid its fuel crisis. In regulatory actions, financier Paul Regan pleaded guilty wsj.com to securities fraud after promising investors 10.5%–15% “guaranteed” yields. A Malaysian lawmaker alleged the anti-graft chief holds 14 million ringgit ($3.6 in shares bloomberg.com, and short-seller Muddy Waters filed a defamation suit bloomberg.com against Portugal’s Mota-Engil. Tether’s chief investment officer is stepping down bloomberg.com after a deals spree, while the Trump administration is inserting itself into corporate deals nytimes.com, including a $10 billion fee from TikTok investors. The Justice Department’s legal threat complicates nytimes.com Kevin Warsh’s Fed chair prospects, and New York City’s proposed $30 minimum wage wsj.com is rattling small businesses.

Market Sentiment & Distress Signals

Investors are questioning market complacency ft.com about the Iran war, with some drawing “2008” parallels ft.com as credit conditions tighten. Hedge fund Regal Partners suffered a 93% crash bloomberg.com in an Australian biotech holding, wiping out A$582 million. In Hong Kong, Infini Capital Management was swept up in raids bloomberg.com after failing a Goldman Sachs test, and authorities arrested staff in a $300 million insider trading probe ft.com. Thames Water creditors pitched an improved rescue bloomberg.com with bigger equity and debt, while Botswana’s credit rating was cut by S&P bloomberg.com on diamond industry woes. Carlyle is overhauling its European team ft.com after poor performance, and private equity is scouting AI infrastructure nytimes.com deals in Asia-Pacific. The U.S. vowed to block Iran’s attempt nytimes.com to shut Hormuz, but analysts note America’s reduced oil dependence nytimes.com may cushion the economic blow.