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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Last updated: March 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

Public Markets Briefing (Past 3 Days)

Private Credit & Distressed Debt

A surge in aluminum prices bloomberg.com catapulted China Hongqiao's Zhang Bo past the $48 billion mark, cementing his position among Asia's wealthiest industrialists, while a Blue Owl Capital fund urged investors to reject Boaz Weinstein’s Saba Capital offer bloomberg.com, deeming the $1.2 billion deal price too low. Meanwhile, Oaktree Capital’s Danielle Poli signaled the distressed debt shop isn’t yet ready to scoop assets in droves bloomberg.com, noting global credit markets remain resilient despite geopolitical headwinds. The sector faced headwinds too, as Glendon Capital Management questioned Blue Owl’s inflated debt valuations ft.com, arguing similar securities trade at lower prices. This activity unfolded against a backdrop of U.S. airline bonds weakening wsj.com on soaring jet fuel costs (up 8% on Middle East supply and a Chicago muni bond sale testing investor appetite bloomberg.com amid geopolitical uncertainty.

Corporate Bonds

Corporate bonds saw mixed signals, with TD Securities advising investors to consider buying corporate bonds bloomberg.com as yields dipped, though U.S. airline bonds weakened wsj.com due to energy price spikes. The sector also faced scrutiny from a Glendon Capital critique of Blue Owl’s debt pricing ft.com, while Chicago’s planned muni bond sale bloomberg.com became a litmus test for municipal demand. Conversely, the U.S. Treasury market rallied nytimes.com, with Japanese government bonds extending gains tracking overnight Treasury rallies nytimes.com as traders increasingly priced in a September Fed rate cut.

Equity Markets & Sector-Specific Moves

Equity markets ended the period on a mixed note, with stocks suffering a third straight weekly loss wsj.com as investors braced for a prolonged Middle East conflict, capping a volatile week where oil prices settled above $100 a barrel wsj.com. The energy sector faced specific pressure, with TotalEnergies shutting production in Qatar, Iraq, and UAE offshore wsj.com, representing about 15% of its total output. Meanwhile, Nvidia prepared to unveil new AI chips ft.com to counter rising challengers, signaling continued investment in the AI infrastructure race. In a separate development, Airbnb readied a high-grade bond debut bloomberg.com as maturities approached on its convertible notes.

Fixed Income & Macro Trends

Fixed income dynamics were heavily influenced by geopolitical risk. U.S. airline bonds weakened wsj.com on Middle East supply fears, while Japanese government bonds extended gains nytimes.com tracking Treasury rallies. The U.S. Treasury market rallied nytimes.com, with Japanese bonds extending gains nytimes.com as traders priced in a September Fed cut. Additionally, the Fed’s bond purchases faced a legal challenge nytimes.com, with a judge quashing subpoenas for Fed records in a case targeting Trump’s rivals, though the impact on the central bank’s independence was deemed limited. Hedge funds turned the most bullish on oil in six years bloomberg.com, reflecting the sector’s heightened volatility.

Bond Markets & Credit Conditions

Credit markets remained volatile. Bond traders suffered losses on options after a U-turn in ECB rate bets bloomberg.com, while market stress neared Liberation Day levels bloomberg.com due to the Iran war’s impact on oil prices, borrowing costs, and the dollar. U.S. corporate bonds were deemed cheap enough to consider buying bloomberg.com, though Blue Owl’s private credit fund urged rejecting Weinstein’s offer bloomberg.com due to perceived overvaluation. The Bond Buyer’s Guide to the 2024 Election ft.com highlighted key races impacting municipal finance, while Chicago’s planned muni bond sale bloomberg.com tested investor sentiment.

Geopolitical & Macro Impact

Geopolitical tensions significantly impacted markets. The U.S. vowed to block Iran’s attempt to shut down the Strait of Hormuz nytimes.com, with Defense Secretary Hegseth stating disruptions were being "dealt with" and 2,500 Marines deployed to the Middle East. This heightened risk, reflected in oil prices settling above $100 a barrel wsj.com for the second straight session. The conflict also drove hedge funds to become the most bullish on oil since 2020 bloomberg.com, while the Iran war was disrupting global trade wsj.com and pushing up Brent crude bloomberg.com despite record production cuts. Saudi Arabia raced to bypass Hormuz bloomberg.com, leading to a buildup of supertankers in the Red Sea, and U.S. sanctions paused on Iran allowed fertilizer sales bloomberg.com to ease global food supply crunches.

Market Structure & Innovation

Innovation and market structure changes were noted. Nvidia prepared to unveil new AI chips ft.com at its GTC event, while Blue Owl prepared to launch a new product bloomberg.com as part of its expansion. Airbnb readied a high-grade bond debut bloomberg.com, and the London Stock Exchange Group sought to sell $3 billion in bonds bloomberg.com. U.S. ETFs saw a boom in retail oil trading bloomberg.com as institutional flows slowed, and private credit became "too noisy" for some investors bloomberg.com. The Bond Buyer’s Guide to the 2024 Election ft.com and the "2008" meme continued to grow bloomberg.com in market discussions.