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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Market Summary

The S&P 500 ended lower wsj.com after a week of turmoil. The escalating war in Iran fueled fears about surging oil prices and inflation, contributing to the market's decline. Goldman Sachs bloomberg.com says hedge funds are increasing short bets on US stocks.

Oil and Energy

Global bond markets tumbled bloomberg.com amid an oil price shock, prompting investors to price in higher inflation and a weaker economic outlook. Oil prices ft.com surged past $110 a barrel as the conflict in the Middle East intensified. The G7 is considering a joint release of oil bloomberg.com from reserves.

Geopolitical Impact

Asian markets tumbled nytimes.com as Middle East tensions and spiking oil prices sparked a mass exit from the region's stocks. The war’s impact bloomberg.com is disrupting global trade, pushing up oil and fertilizer prices. China nytimes.com has billions of dollars at risk due to the widening war.

Economic Concerns

US employers unexpectedly cut jobs bloomberg.com in February, adding to concerns about the labor market. Inflation concerns bloomberg.com are rising, with banks likely to face higher costs in issuing significant risk transfers. Bond traders bloomberg.com are awaiting US inflation data with the oil rise in focus.

Company News

Servier wsj.com will buy Day One for $2.5 billion, expanding its oncology portfolio. PAG bloomberg.com is said to be exploring the sale of chicken meat producer Fengxiang. Ford wsj.com issued a recall over rearview camera errors.

Financial Markets

The dollar strengthened bloomberg.com against every major currency on Monday. Banks and asset managers bloomberg.com saw their stocks fall as credit concerns persisted. NYSE bloomberg.com will pay the SEC $9 million tied to a 2023 market outage.

Industry Trends

Drones ft.com are emerging as a strategic tool for defense and markets, with tech groups gaining investor support. Private debt bloomberg.com may face a "full-blown default cycle," according to Pimco. Aluminum bloomberg.com rose to a 2022 high as the Iran war stoked a supply crunch.

Regional Analysis

Indonesia’s currency wsj.com weakened to a record low amid the Middle East conflict. South Korean stocks bloomberg.com declined as escalating tensions and rising oil prices prompted investors to reduce risk exposure. Japanese equities bloomberg.com are set to decline.

Market Strategy

Gold bloomberg.com fell as a stronger US dollar and inflationary risks weighed on the market. Oil’s surge bloomberg.com is clouding the outlook for Indian bank earnings and interest rates. US stocks bloomberg.com face a growing risk of a sharp selloff.

Other Developments

Kalshi bloomberg.com is expanding outside the US for the first time, partnering with Brazil’s XP Inc. BrewDog nytimes.com, a Scottish beer company, left investors empty-handed after missteps. Hargreaves Lansdown ft.com postponed fee rises, but only for "valued" clients.