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Public Markets 3d Briefing

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Market Turmoil

Stocks bloomberg.com slid sharply as credit stress, geopolitical tensions, and AI fears weighed on sentiment. The S&P 500 ended lower investing.com for the week, marking its first two-week decline since June. Investors flocked to safety, pushing bonds bloomberg.com to their biggest monthly rally in a year, with short-term yields falling to 2022 lows. The dollar investing.com posted its first monthly gain since October, buoyed by geopolitical uncertainty and a hawkish Fed stance.

Geopolitical Shockwaves

The US and Israel's coordinated strikes on Iran sent shockwaves through global markets. Oil bloomberg.com prices spiked as traders assessed the impact on Middle East supplies, with Iran threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz. Bitcoin investing.com tumbled below $64,000, extending its monthly losing streak to five as crypto markets absorbed the risk-off sentiment. The US military yahoo.com reported air-defense battles as American bases faced attacks amid the escalating conflict.

Tech Sector Under Pressure

The AI sector faced renewed scrutiny as Nvidia investing.com prepared a new inference processor amid rising competition. Core Weave finance.yahoo.com suffered its worst rout in six months over spending fears, highlighting concerns about AI infrastructure valuations. Meanwhile, DeepSeek ft.com rejected the Pentagon's "best and final offer" for military AI use, with CEO Dario Amodei stating the startup "cannot in good conscience" agree to government terms. The sector rotation accelerated as investors dumped tech quality stocks for traditional value plays, with tech stocks investing.com now trading at consumer staples valuations.

Corporate Moves

Berkshire Hathaway ft.com reported operating profit sliding nearly 30% on insurance underwriting losses, though CEO Greg Abel reassured investors that massive cash holdings don't signal retreat from dealmaking. Paramount bloomberg.com announced plans for a $57.5 billion Warner debt package mixing junk and investment-grade securities as it pursues its acquisition. Walmart wsj.com agreed to a $100 million FTC settlement over deceptive driver pay practices, while T-Mobile tech.yahoo.com launched a promotion offering free iPhone 17s to customers.

Economic Policy Uncertainty

Trump administration bloomberg.com sought delays in tariff refund court proceedings after the Supreme Court struck down recent tariffs, unleashing a wave of legal challenges. US businesses wsj.com continued leveraging a well-honed tariff-reduction playbook to shave billions off their bills, providing some confidence amid ongoing trade upheaval. The Fed's Miran wsj.com advocated for four rate cuts this year, though markets remained skeptical given persistent inflation concerns and geopolitical risks.

Regional Developments

China's capital markets rebounded strongly, fueled by a surge in equity refinancing and bond issuance. China bloomberg.com fundraising jumped as the country's economic stabilization efforts gained traction. In Europe, Shell ft.com grappled with a debt crisis at its key Brazilian biofuels venture Raízen, while Stellantis ft.com warned of higher US tariff costs as it reported a €22 billion loss. The UK pension sector saw BlackRock ft.com and Goldman Sachs join the race to fund Phoenix's pension business.

Sector-Specific News

The commodities supercycle gained momentum as investors sought inflation hedges. Coal wsj.com power's comeback failed to spur new investment despite AI data centers' growing electricity demands. Lithium investing.com demand was set to jump 25% as the EV market recovered, signaling a potential bottom in prices. The rare earth sector saw Trump finance.yahoo.com leveraging America's strategic position in the global supply chain battle.

Market Structure

The US corporate bond market bloomberg.com reached its most competitive conditions on record, with strong primary market demand spurring increased secondary trading. Stablecoin investing.com demand surged, potentially ending 30-year Treasury auctions for three years as digital assets reshape traditional finance. The IRS faced legal scrutiny after disclosing confidential information to ICE 42,695 times, highlighting ongoing regulatory challenges in the financial sector.