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US Core CPI Rises Less Than Expected in December

Bloomberg Markets •
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America's core consumer price index climbed just 0.2% in December, falling short of economist projections. This modest increase marks the smallest monthly gain since May 2023 and brings the annual core CPI rise to 2.6%, matching a four-year low. The muted inflation reading suggests the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate-hiking campaign may finally be having its intended effect.

Energy and food costs, which are excluded from the core calculation, have been particularly volatile throughout 2023. Excluding these categories helps economists gauge underlying price pressures. Market participants will scrutinize whether this trend continues into early 2024.

Sustained core inflation near the Fed's 2% target could influence policymakers' decisions on future interest rate adjustments. Recent labor market data has shown resilience, complicating the central bank's efforts to cool the economy without triggering a recession. Economist Michael McKee analyzed the numbers on Bloomberg Television, noting that shelter costs remain a key variable for future readings.