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UBS Sees Yuan Climbing to 10% of Global Reserves

Bloomberg Markets •
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UBS Asset Management forecasts the Chinese yuan could capture 10% of global foreign exchange reserves within years. Rising geopolitical tensions and US policy uncertainty are pushing central banks to diversify away from dollar-dominated portfolios.

Central banks globally hold approximately $13 trillion in reserves, with the dollar commanding nearly 60% share. A shift toward yuan-denominated assets would require significant changes in China's capital markets accessibility and regulatory framework.

Market watchers point to recent inclusion of Chinese bonds in major indices as evidence of gradual acceptance. However, liquidity concerns and Beijing's capital controls remain obstacles to rapid adoption.

Investors should monitor upcoming policy reforms in China's financial sector. Any relaxation of currency restrictions could accelerate foreign reserve allocation shifts sooner than expected.