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Options Market Signals Heightened US-Iran Geopolitical Risk

Bloomberg Markets •
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The options market is signaling heightened investor concern about escalating US-Iran tensions, according to Julian Emanuel, chief equity and quantitative strategist at Evercore ISI. Investors are hedging for a more challenging outcome in the region, with Emanuel identifying potential Mideast conflict as the next major market catalyst. This hedging activity suggests traders expect increased volatility and uncertainty, potentially impacting global markets. The options market's positioning reflects a defensive stance, with traders likely purchasing protective puts or selling calls to mitigate downside risk from geopolitical escalation.