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Malaysia Bonds Gain as Oil Surge

Bloomberg Markets •
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Global investors are flooding into Malaysian bonds as the Iran conflict drives oil prices higher, benefiting the energy-exporting nation while rattling other emerging markets. Foreign funds purchased over $2 billion in Malaysian sovereign and corporate bonds as of March 19, marking the highest inflow in 10 months.

Malaysia's decoupling stems from projected oil revenue windfalls. While rising crude prices pressure other nations' finances, Malaysia's fiscal support anchors inflation, buoying local bonds and the ringgit. The government's commitment to maintain subsidized fuel prices contrasts with regional peers cutting support.

Bank Negara Malaysia expects inflation to remain moderate between 1.5% and 2.5%, supporting its neutral stance. This contrasts with regional peers where interest-rate swaps indicate potential rate hikes. Maybank Securities raised its Malaysian bond forecast to "mildly bullish," citing inflation cushioned by fuel subsidies.