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Lagarde and Powell say ‘stagflation’ belongs to the 1970s

Bloomberg Markets •
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European Central Bank chief Christine Lagarde joined U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell in dismissing the “stagflation” tag for today’s euro‑zone economy. Both policymakers argued the term belongs to the 1970s, not the current mix of modest growth and elevated inflation. Their comments came after the latest ECB policy briefing, prompting a modest rally in European equities.

Analysts had warned that persistent price pressures combined with slowing output could revive the dreaded 1970s scenario, raising worries about corporate earnings and sovereign debt costs. Lagarde’s rejection signals confidence that inflation will ease without a full‑blown output collapse, a narrative that steadied bond markets and eased pressure on the euro’s exchange rate.

Investors interpreted the remarks as a cue that the ECB may avoid aggressive rate hikes, supporting risk‑on sentiment across the continent. Credit spreads narrowed, and the euro gained modestly against the dollar. The clear stance underscores that policymakers view the current environment as distinct from the stagflation era, anchoring market expectations for a measured policy path.

The dismissal also reverberates in corporate strategy meetings, where CEOs weigh cost pressures against growth plans. With the stigma of stagflation removed, firms may pursue modest expansion rather than defensive cuts, influencing capital‑expenditure forecasts in sectors from automotive to technology. In short, the policymakers’ language reshapes the risk calculus for Europe’s business community.