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Kenya trims tax plan, revenue falls to $763 million

Bloomberg Markets •
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Kenyan lawmakers trimmed a suite of Treasury‑driven tax proposals, cutting expected revenue from almost $1 billion to $763 million. The Kenyan National Assembly’s revisions aim to ease pressure on consumers and nascent industries, but the lower haul tightens the country’s fiscal outlook as it approaches a tight budget cycle. The Treasury had originally pitched the higher levy as a way to fund the road expansion and health initiatives.

Lawmakers rejected a 25% excise duty on imported mobile phones and voted against ending preferential tax treatment for locally assembled electric vehicles, animal‑feed raw materials and pharmaceutical inputs. The decision preserves cost advantages for these sectors but eliminates a major revenue stream the Treasury had earmarked for infrastructure and social programs. Consumers benefit from lower phone prices, while the EV incentive supports Kenya’s green‑vehicle push.

The pared‑back tax package leaves the 2026 budget with a shortfall of roughly $200 million, prompting the finance ministry to seek alternative financing or spending cuts. Investors watch Kenya’s fiscal discipline closely; weaker revenue may pressure sovereign bond spreads and deter foreign firms eyeing the market’s growth potential. The ministry may also tap the domestic bond market, where yields have stayed near 12%.