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Japan Post Insurance Shifts to High-Yield Bonds as Rates Rise

Bloomberg Markets •
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Japan Post Insurance plans to sell lower-yielding government bonds and replace them with higher-yielding debt as interest rates climb. CEO Kunio Tanigaki expects the Bank of Japan to raise rates again by April, following the central bank's end to super-easy monetary policy in March 2024. The insurer held ¥50.35 trillion ($320 billion) in securities at year-end.

Rising yields have already hit the firm's portfolio, with valuation losses on domestic notes widening about 30% to ¥4.39 trillion in the final quarter of last year. The insurer aims to capitalize on the rate-hike environment by adjusting its investment strategy. While Middle East tensions have tempered near-term rate hike expectations, market indicators still point to a strong likelihood of increases by summer.

Japan Post Insurance anticipates 10-year Japanese government bond yields could reach 2.5% in the fiscal year starting April 1, up from about 2.1% recently. This shift reflects broader changes in Japan's financial landscape as insurers adapt to a new era of higher interest rates after years of ultra-low yields.