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Fed's Paulson Forecasts 2026 Rate Cuts

Bloomberg Markets •
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Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson repeated her view that the central bank has room for further interest-rate cuts later this year. Her remarks followed the latest inflation data, which she said confirmed a cautious optimism about the economic trajectory. Paulson's stance suggests the Fed may pivot toward monetary easing if price pressures continue to abate.

Paulson's forecast arrives as markets parse every data point for clues on the Fed's next moves. Investors have been betting on policy shifts for months, and her comments provide another data point for that calculus. A steady drip of softer inflation readings could give policymakers the green light they need to act.

What comes next hinges on upcoming jobs and consumer price reports. If those reports align with Paulson's view, expect bond yields to react and the dollar to face pressure. Her outlook suggests the Fed is closer to cutting than hiking, a major shift from the restrictive stance maintained for years.