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Euro slides to August low after Lagarde’s dovish tone

Bloomberg Markets •
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The single currency slipped to its weakest point since August after a string of soft European data and dovish remarks from ECB chief Christine Lagarde. Traders trimmed expectations for further rate hikes, sending the euro down to the August trough. Export‑driven firms face higher cost pressures as a weaker euro raises foreign‑currency denominated revenues.

Weak output numbers from Germany and tepid services growth in France fed the narrative that price pressures are easing faster than policymakers anticipated. With the ECB’s policy path now appearing less aggressive, investors shifted to safe‑haven assets, pushing euro‑dollar spreads wider. Eurostat data next week will test the easing trend, and analysts caution that the trend may be fragile.

Currency traders now price a lower probability of a July rate rise, a shift that could ripple through euro‑area corporate financing costs. Companies relying on cheap borrowing may find debt service margins tightening if the ECB pauses or cuts rates later. The August low signals market sentiment can swing quickly on policy tone, prompting tighter hedging. Sovereign bond yields also tighten, raising financing costs for governments.