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Banks Bet on Falling Loonie as Inflation Cools

Bloomberg Markets •
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Deutsche Bank and JPMorgan are positioning for a weaker Canadian dollar against multiple currencies in 2026. The banks cite Canada's tame inflation readings as fueling a reassessment of the Bank of Canada's interest rate hike trajectory, prompting their bearish outlook on the loonie.

Both financial institutions recommend selling the Canadian dollar against the US dollar, Australian dollar, and Mexican peso. This strategy reflects growing market skepticism that Canada's central bank will maintain its earlier aggressive stance on monetary policy amid moderating price pressures.

The coordinated bearish positions from these major banks signal increasing conviction that the Canadian dollar's recent strength may not persist. Market participants are now adjusting their portfolios to profit from what appears to be a developing trend in North American currency markets.