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Public Markets 3h Briefing

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Oil Market Turmoil

Crude oil prices bloomberg.com hit multi-year highs as algorithmic traders maxed out bullish bets for the first time since 2021. The U.S. and Western allies are considering releasing emergency oil reserves to counter the Gulf crisis, with G7 finance ministers pledging to take "necessary measures" as soon as Tuesday. Meanwhile, Russia's President Vladimir Putin urged oil and gas producers to use high prices to cut debt, acknowledging the spike will be temporary.

Municipal and Corporate Bonds

Chicago bloomberg.com is testing the war-rattled municipal market with an $800 million bond sale as Middle East tensions disrupt global markets. Petrobras bloomberg.com is holding off on Brazilian fuel price increases despite the oil price surge, according to CEO Magda Chambriard. JPMorgan bloomberg.com has turned bullish on US investment-grade bonds, now expecting spreads to tighten by 12 basis points - a reversal from its November projection.

Tech and IPO Market

The IPO market faces challenges as beaten-down offerings confront a "negative feedback loop" after lock-up expirations. BRC Ambiental bloomberg.com may delay Brazil's first IPO in five years as market conditions worsen. Shell wsj.com agreed to sell Jiffy Lube and Premium Velocity to Monomoy for $1.3 billion, including the Jiffy Lube brand and franchised store network.

Corporate Developments

Live Nation ft.com settled a US monopoly case over ticket sales, with the Justice Department alleging the company illegally dominates the market through exclusionary conduct. Darktrace ft.com named its third CEO in 18 months as private equity owners push for faster US expansion growth. Talent agent Ari Emanuel nytimes.com launched his own podcast "Rushmore," showcasing a different side of Hollywood's archetypal agent.

Market Sentiment and Policy

Citadel Securities bloomberg.com argues markets are mispricing Fed and ECB rate paths, saying the oil price surge makes policy divergence unlikely. The U.S. economy remains highly sensitive to oil prices, with the highest weekly jump in US average gasoline prices since Russia's Ukraine invasion causing pain for motorists worldwide. Talent Agent Ari Emanuel launched his own podcast "Rushmore," showcasing a different side of Hollywood's archetypal agent.

International Developments

Mexico trade consultations favor tweaking rather than major revamping of the USMCA trade deal. The UK faces pressure to deliver on infrastructure projects as the pipeline tops £700 billion, with government accused of failing to advance major schemes. Meanwhile, O.S.U. nytimes.com President Walter Carter Jr. resigned over an "inappropriate relationship," acknowledging he made a mistake allowing improper access to university leadership.