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Hurricanes vs. Knights Game 4 odds and projection model

CBS Sports NHL •
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Carolina Hurricanes aim to level a 2‑1 series deficit against Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 of the 2026 Stanley Cup Final Tuesday night. The Knights captured a 5‑4 double‑overtime win on Saturday, extending their lead. Both clubs chase a second championship; Carolina posted a 113‑point regular season, while Vegas earned 95.

SportsLine’s projection model, which runs 10,000 simulations per matchup, lists the Hurricanes as ‑114 favorites and sets the total at 5.5 goals. The model predicts a 6.2‑goal combined tally, favoring the Over, which has hit six of the last ten head‑to‑head meetings and four of Vegas’s previous four games.

Individual projections show Carolina’s Seth Jarvis contributing .41 goals and .43 assists, while goalie Frederik Andersen is slated for 22 saves on 3.11 goals against. Vegas expects Pavel Dorofeyev to post .46 goals and .28 assists, with Carter Hart making 25.8 saves. The model’s money‑line edge favors the Knights at ‑106, suggesting bettors back the spread.

Betting platforms such as DraftKings and Fubo carry the live feed, with promotional codes highlighted in the article. SportsLine touts a historic +568 return on top‑rated NHL picks, reinforcing confidence in its algorithm. With the series hanging in the balance, the Over‑5.5 line and the Knights’ slight money‑line edge dominate the wagering conversation.