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Public Markets

Last updated: June 28, 2026, 11:30 PM ET

Global Markets & Macroeconomic Trends

A cautious mood permeated Asian markets as the Singapore dollar consolidated against the dollar, while copper prices declined under pressure from the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and a strengthening U.S. dollar. In fixed income, investors are being advised to go long India's 30-year, according to Goldman Sachs. Emerging market bonds faced headwinds as Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance overshadowed any potential relief from falling energy prices. Meanwhile, Wall Street banks are abandoning their bets on a stronger euro, anticipating that the U.S. will outpace Europe in interest rate hikes for the remainder of the year. The New Zealand dollar is poised for a subdued third quarter due to a resurgent greenback and the lingering energy shock from the Iran conflict affecting its domestic recovery.

Asia-Pacific Markets & Economic Activity

The Indian rupee led its Asian peers higher, buoyed by falling crude oil prices and capital inflows, with the Reserve Bank of India possibly allowing further appreciation before resuming dollar purchases. In China, the central bank surprised markets by withholding the rate on its debut overnight reverse repo operation, leaving traders without guidance on borrowing costs. China also faces challenges in forecasting energy demand due to structural economic changes and the rapid growth of new industries. Hong Kong's commercial property market continues to show pockets of weakness, with a commercial complex seeing unit prices cut by up to 57%. In the Philippines, a fintech unicorn backed by Ant International is planning an IPO aiming to raise up to $1.5 billion, which would be the country's largest-ever listing. However, the Philippines has lowered its economic growth targets and anticipates a weaker peso beyond 2028, citing headwinds like Middle East tensions and inflation.

AI and Technology Sector

The artificial intelligence boom is driving sovereign wealth funds to shift capital from public markets into private credit and infrastructure, citing concentration risks in stock markets and national security concerns. This pivot to less liquid assets is a response to rising risks in traditional bond and stock portfolios, according to an industry survey. European investors seeking AI exposure are getting creative, investing in companies that enable the technology or stand to benefit from it, moving beyond the usual suspects. Blue Bay Asset Management remains bullish on Japanese AI-related stocks, expecting the rally to extend into 2027, though trimming near-term risk ahead of a potential slowdown. OpenAI has appointed Uber's former India and South Asia President, Prabhjeet Singh, as its managing director for the country, signaling a deepening investment in a key growth market.

Commodities & Energy

Oil prices edged higher following reports of potential peace talks between the U.S. and Iran, after an escalation in hostilities that saw a supertanker hit near the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict in the Persian Gulf has also strained a ceasefire, leading to tempered expectations for energy prices. Russian President Vladimir Putin acknowledged that fuel supply problems persist, with queues at gas stations and measures being weighed to stabilize the domestic market. Mines pose a threat to Strait of Hormuz shipping for months, with safe routes severely limited and traffic restricted to half pre-war levels, according to NYK's Takaya Soga. Airlines are bracing for up to $127 billion in extra costs due to a shortage of carbon credits, with Emirates potentially facing the highest expenses due to its reliance on long-haul flights.

Corporate & Deal Activity

Williams Companies is in advanced talks to acquire rival natural gas pipeline operator Momentum Midstream for approximately $5.5 billion, which would represent one of its largest deals ever. Bridgepoint, a London-based buyout group, is nearing a deal to acquire a U.S. real estate unit, signaling a move beyond its traditional corporate buyout focus. Separately, private equity managers are facing scrutiny over fee structures that allow them to collect substantial fees on paper gains, particularly in semiliquid funds. In the automotive sector, Wayve is emerging as a key partner for traditional automakers in the race to automate driving, positioning itself as a challenger to Tesla and Waymo. Rolls-Royce is seeking state backing for a new engine designed to power the next generation of narrow-body jets, aiming to return to powering short-haul aircraft.

U.S. Markets & Economic Concerns

Leveraged funds and margin debt have reached unprecedented levels this year, contributing to the stock market rally but also raising concerns about a growing source of unease. The U.S. government's tab to support American farms is rising, with President Trump's latest request extending a series of interventions aimed at aiding the agricultural economy. The Department of Justice's environmental division has been renamed the Energy and Natural Resources Division, dropping the redundant 'Environment' from its title. A "heat dome" is forecast to bring record-breaking triple-digit temperatures to the Midwest and Eastern U.S., potentially lasting into the Fourth of July holiday weekend. Meanwhile, wildfires in Utah and Colorado have claimed the lives of three firefighters, with the arid border region experiencing blazes after a warm winter with less snow.

Geopolitical Developments

Pakistan reported carrying out intelligence-based operations and airstrikes along its border with Afghanistan, killing 29 militants in retaliation for earlier attacks. The country's security forces also foiled a militant attack on a Karachi camp, killing three assailants and capturing one. Iran's actions in the Strait of Hormuz are seen as critical leverage in peace talks with the U.S., with Iran appearing willing to risk the cease-fire to maintain this power. The U.S. and Iran have reportedly agreed to cease attacks following a flare-up that impacted shipping. Kazakhstan's leader is deepening ties with the U.S., viewing President Trump as a crucial counterweight to Russia and China. The political landscape in Indonesia is causing global banks to pull cash out of the Southeast Asian nation, with the three largest foreign banks having repatriated about $640 million in earnings since 2024.

Real Estate & Infrastructure

Sydney's weekend home auction clearance rate has reached its weakest point in over six years, as higher interest rates and property tax changes dampen activity and weigh on prices. Overseas pension funds are rethinking investments in UK housing due to planning policy issues and retrospective liability concerns. Heathrow Airport's £33 billion expansion project has been described by the head of Star Alliance as being "like a luxury Mercedes," with warnings of "eye-watering" costs associated with the third runway. Federal buildings across the U.S. are facing a significant repair backlog, estimated at $50 billion, but securing repair funds from Congress is a complex process.

Other Notable Developments

The comedy award season is underway, with Bill Maher set to receive the Mark Twain Prize at the Kennedy Center. In the arts, the film "Supergirl" faltered at the box office, debuting as a disappointing second with an estimated $38 million, impacting DC Studios' reboot efforts. Philippe Stern, heir to the Patek Philippe watch brand, has died at. He was credited with marketing high-end handmade watches as status symbols, revitalizing a struggling industry.


Private Equity

Last updated: June 28, 2026, 11:30 PM ET

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Sector Investment

Last updated: June 28, 2026, 11:30 PM ET

Infrastructure Fundraising & Strategy

The infrastructure sector is experiencing a significant fundraising resurgence, with total capital raised nearing a potential $1.2 trillion, though questions remain about which large managers will capture the bulk of this capital. Amid this boom, first-time manager Tallvine is reportedly close to its debut fund target of $1.5 billion, having spun out from I Squared Capital in 2024. German asset manager Allianz Global Investors is also actively seeking opportunities, signaling an increased focus on the mid-market and seeking partnerships with infrastructure general partners (GPs) beyond just flagship funds as it works with managers.

The Japanese Science and Technology Agency (JST) is also expanding its infrastructure portfolio by beginning to invest in the secondaries market, according to senior manager Keigo Yumino, who stated the university endowment's infrastructure holdings are "fully diversified" but acknowledged challenges with personnel shortages in direct investments JST begins to invest. Meanwhile, the largest infrastructure GPs are outlining their strategic visions for the coming AI capital expenditure supercycle, which they anticipate will reach $7 trillion AI capex supercycle.