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Chinese open-source AI models overtake US in downloads

MIT Technology Review AI •
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Chinese AI labs have taken a route that sidesteps the API‑centric model dominant in Silicon Valley. By releasing “open‑weight” models that developers can download and run locally, they let users tweak architectures without negotiating with U.S. gatekeepers. The approach gained traction when DeepSeek open‑sourced its R1 reasoning model in January 2025, delivering performance comparable to top American systems at a fraction of the cost.

Within a year a new cohort—Z.ai, Moonshot, Alibaba’s Qwen and MiniMax—has raced to outdo the original release, narrowing the capability gap with U.S. rivals faster than analysts expected. MIT and Hugging Face data show Chinese open‑weight downloads reached 17.1% of the global total for the year ending August 2025, edging past the United States’ 15.86% share.

Developers in the Global South adopt Chinese models for AI sovereignty; Singapore’s AI Singapore program built its regional model on Alibaba’s Qwen, and Malaysia pledged a sovereign ecosystem on DeepSeek. Western firms argue proprietary stacks protect training spend, yet Chinese labs treat open‑source as a shortcut around chip limits and a route to an ecosystem that later generates API revenue. The shift diversifies AI development.